Susan Collins

The 2022 red wave that wasn't holds lessons for reading 2026 surveys: partisan poll flooding, late deciders, and the difference between a close year and a landslide.

Thirty-five Senate seats are up. Republicans defend a 53–47 majority. We walk through the races both parties must win — and the ones that could go either way.

Pew is not mainly a horse-race pollster — and that's the point. Their 2026 work helps explain which groups may show up and what they care about.

Three months from Election Day, the 2026 map is taking shape. Republicans defend narrow congressional majorities while Democrats target Senate seats in North Carolina, Maine, and…