2026 Polling Sources

The most useful single starting point for raw 2026 polls. Lists individual surveys by race — Senate, governors, generic congressional ballot — often within days of release. August 2026 feeds include Texas Senate, North Carolina Senate, Michigan primaries, Arizona governor, Wisconsin governor, and more. Sister site RealClearPolitics is editorially conservative; headline selection on the broader RCP network can feel right-leaning.

Strong choice for polling averages, not just individual polls. Separate 2026 sections for Senate, House, governors, and the generic ballot. Weights surveys by recency, sample size, and pollster track record. Also runs simulation-based forecasts for chamber control. Independent project by Logan Phillips.

Newer tracker monitoring Senate, House, governors, primaries, and the generic ballot from public sources. Uses a 30-day polling average when enough surveys exist; falls back to expert consensus (Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections) when data is thin. Map-based seat projections.

Nate Silver's FLIPR model combines polling averages with fundamentals and expert ratings. Averages adjust for registered vs. likely voters, pollster house effects, and poll age. Draws many race-level polls from the New York Times poll database. Probabilistic, analytical framing.

Best known for presidential maps; also hosts Senate power rankings, prediction-market snapshots, and links to external forecasts. Does not field polls — aggregates ratings and market prices for interactive maps.

Battleground-focused tracker with Senate averages and analysis. Smaller than RealClearPolling or Race to the WH but useful for quick state-level tables. Treat as supplemental.

2026 congressional forecast launched July 2026, blending fundamentals, public polling averages, and prediction markets (Kalshi, Polymarket). Simulates House and Senate outcomes. Also provides election-night race calls and results data.

Bayesian ensemble combining polls, historical fundamentals, and expert race ratings. Simulates tens of thousands of House and Senate elections jointly. August 2026 runs showed Democrats favored for House with Senate closer to a toss-up.

Nonpartisan analyst ratings (Solid, Likely, Lean, Toss-up) — not a pollster. Widely cited when individual polls are sparse. Amy Walter's team updates Senate and House race ratings throughout the cycle.

Nonpartisan race ratings from Nathan Gonzales and team. Does not field voter surveys; provides expert handicapping used by aggregators as fallback data.

University of Virginia Center for Politics ratings and analysis. Academic, nonpartisan race handicapping — not original polling. Often disagrees with Cook on marginal seats.

Encyclopedic election reference that compiles ratings from Cook, DDHQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato side by side. Useful comparison tables, not a pollster.

University pollster with frequent state surveys in the Northeast and Florida. Live-caller and online methods; publishes methodology with each release. Active in competitive 2026 Senate and governor races.

Partners with NPR and PBS for national surveys. Careful methodology and large samples on national mood and New York–area races.

Publishes detailed crosstabs and plain-language methodology notes. Strong in New Jersey; occasional national and battleground batteries.

Active in 2026 primaries and battlegrounds including Iowa. Mixed-mode (phone, text, online) methodology. Occasionally shows slight Republican house effects in some cycles.

State-level polls including Iowa 2026 Senate and governor surveys (August 2026). Live interviewer phone methodology.

Partners with the New York Times and Portland Press Herald for multi-state battleground batteries. Methodology is rigorous; the Times as sponsor is center-left. May 2026 NYT/Siena batteries covered multiple Senate battlegrounds.

Nonpartisan research organization focused on attitudes, demographics, and media habits more than horse-race calls. Valuable context for understanding the electorate behind topline numbers.

Fielded by bipartisan team Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company (R). Methodology is balanced; Fox News as sponsor is right-leaning. August 2026 battleground polls covered Georgia, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate races.

Conducted by Langer Research Associates. Rigorous national surveys with detailed methodology appendices. Center-left media sponsors; polling methods generally regarded as neutral.

Bipartisan field team: Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Long-running national tracker including generic congressional ballot.

SSRS handles fieldwork for CNN national and battleground surveys. Multi-mode methodology; CNN as sponsor is generally regarded as center-left.

Weekly Economist/YouGov tracking with large online panel. Consistent question wording makes trend analysis straightforward.

High-frequency online tracking of presidential approval and congressional preference. Large samples; best read as trend lines over weeks, not single-release horse-race calls.

Focuses on presidential approval, party favorability, and economic confidence rather than district-level horse races. Still shapes how analysts frame midterm environments.

Commercial pollster with historically pro-Republican house effects on approval and ballot tests. Frequently cited in conservative media; compare against other pollsters before treating numbers at face value.

National mood and presidential approval tracking. Occasionally leans more Republican than peer pollsters on topline indicators.

Republican polling firm and the "R" half of the bipartisan NBC News/Wall Street Journal team. Works with GOP candidates, the NRCC, NRSC, and corporate clients. When POS releases standalone surveys outside the NBC/WSJ partnership, they reflect Republican-aligned priorities. Mirror counterpart to Hart Research on the Democratic side.

Long-running Republican pollster working with GOP campaigns, conservative PACs, and business groups. Active in battleground Senate and governor races. Public releases often show stronger Republican performance than peer pollsters; compare with neutral university surveys in the same state.

Republican-aligned pollster known for unconventional likely-voter models and a documented pro-GOP house effect in analyst reviews (including Nate Silver's pollster ratings). Fields state and national surveys cited heavily in conservative media. Treat as one data point — methodology differs sharply from live-caller university polls.

Missouri-based robocall and online pollster working primarily with Republican candidates and conservative organizations. Frequent state-level releases in Midwest and Sun Belt battlegrounds. Rated right-leaning by independent bias monitors; fast, low-cost methodology draws skepticism from some analysts.

Republican polling firm active in Senate, House, and governor races. Conducts campaign surveys for GOP clients with occasional public toplines in competitive 2026 states. Less prominent nationally than McLaughlin or Trafalgar but regularly surfaces in Republican-aligned media.

Georgia-based pollster with a history of Republican-leaning house effects on approval and ballot tests. Active in Southern battlegrounds including Georgia Senate and governor races. Founder Matt Towery is a conservative commentator; surveys are often promoted in right-leaning outlets.

Republican strategy and polling firm (formerly Winning Strategies) working with GOP campaigns, super PACs, and state parties. Fields public surveys in competitive Southern and Midwestern states during midterm cycles. Private client work outweighs public releases, but toplines appear in conservative media during tight 2026 races.

Republican polling and ad-making firm tied to major GOP campaign strategy. Works with Senate and House Republicans, governors, and conservative issue groups. Public horse-race releases are less frequent than Rasmussen or Trafalgar, but OnMessage surveys show up in NRCC/NRSC reporting during competitive cycles.

Alexandria, Virginia-based Republican polling firm with decades of work for GOP candidates and conservative organizations. Conducts private campaign research; occasional public releases in Virginia and national mood tracking. Rated right-leaning in partisan pollster directories.

Republican digital polling firm using online panels and text-to-web recruitment. Works with GOP campaigns and conservative groups on message testing and horse-race tracking. Newer than legacy robocall shops but increasingly visible in 2024–2026 cycle reporting cited by Republican-aligned outlets.

Republican (Fabrizio) and Democratic (Anzalone) firms that partner on bipartisan releases, including Georgia 2026 surveys. Neutral when paired; individual campaign releases may be partisan.

University of Texas statewide polls fielded with YouGov. August 2026 survey covered Texas Senate (Talarico vs. Paxton) and governor races.

Michigan-focused pollster active in 2026 Senate primary and general election surveys.

Arkansas statewide surveys via Talk Business & Politics partnership. August 2026 poll showed competitive Senate race.

Progressive nonprofit pollster advising Democratic campaigns, unions, and advocacy groups. Active in 2026 with issue polling and midterm-focused research (e.g., swing voters who backed Trump in 2024). Results often cited by Politico, NYT, and progressive outlets. Transparent methodology; ideological mission is explicitly progressive.

Online panel pollster known for daily tracking on approval, issue positions, and party favorability. Frequently partnered with Daily Kos. Analysts including Nate Silver's team have measured a modest Democratic house effect. Useful for trend lines on national mood heading into November 2026.

Online pollster working primarily with Democratic candidates and progressive causes. Recruits fresh respondents per survey via digital ads rather than phone banks. Publishes public polls and conducts private campaign work. Rated left-leaning by independent bias monitors; compare with nonpartisan pollsters on the same race.

Progressive messaging and tracking shop publishing regular national updates on economic mood, party favorability, and issue framing. Works with center-left and labor-aligned clients. Not a traditional horse-race pollster for every district, but influential on how Democrats message the 2026 environment.

Democratic polling and strategy firm founded by Celinda Lake. Works with progressive candidates, unions, and advocacy groups. Historically ranked among the more accurate Democratic-aligned pollsters in independent reviews. Conducts private campaign surveys; occasional public releases.

Democratic polling and communications firm active in Senate, House, and governor races. Works with Democratic candidates and progressive organizations. Public toplines appear less often than university pollsters, but GSG surveys show up in campaign reporting during competitive 2026 cycles.

Robocall and online pollster based in North Carolina with a long history of Democratic-leaning house effects. Frequently polls state races and oddball issue questions. Cheap, fast methodology draws criticism, but PPP remains a fixture in state-level midterm coverage. Treat numbers as one data point among many.

Democratic polling firm and the "D" half of the bipartisan NBC News/Wall Street Journal team. Also conducts surveys for labor unions and progressive groups. When Hart releases standalone work (outside the NBC/WSJ partnership), it reflects Democratic-aligned client priorities.

Long-running Democratic strategy and polling firm associated with center-left and labor clients. Less visible in public 2026 horse-race feeds than Data for Progress or Civiqs, but remains active in private campaign research for competitive Senate and House races.

Democratic polling firm tied to major party strategy (formerly central to Obama-era campaign research). Focuses on private client work for Democratic candidates and allied groups. Occasional public releases surface in competitive 2026 races.

Progressive news site publishing Civiqs-powered tracking on generic ballot, approval, and issue polls. Not a separate pollster — aggregates and highlights Civiqs data with editorial framing from the left. Useful for spotting trends cited in progressive media.